Real Madrid → Manchester City · Free · Winter 2027
11%
Unlikely
first reported 13d agolast moved 13d ago
- Rumoured7 Sept
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 3 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- Liverpool F.C.Rumoured11%
- Manchester CityRumoured11%
- Fulham F.C.Rumoured11%
What was actually said
1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportWhy 11%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.