AS Monaco FCLiverpool F.C. · Winter 2027

15%
Unlikely
first reported 11d agolast moved 4d ago
  1. Rumoured
    8 Sept
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 11d ago
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk11d ago+1

    🚨 Monaco's Lamine Camara has reportedly picked between Chelsea or Liverpool, as journalist claims a 'series of calls' have opened the gates to a blockbuster January transfer https://t.co/JmQQAwmILL #CFC #LFC #transfernews

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.51counted at 36%claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk6d agono effect

    🇸🇳🗣️ #LFC learn they will have to pay BIG if they want to sign Lamine Camara in January as Monaco star breaks silence on blocked deadline move to #CFC https://t.co/PBUV7KLJCb #transfers

Why 15%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk advancingtrust 0.51, 42% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%)
+2
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.51, 78% faded, counted at 60%
+1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

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257 recomputations 25 points over the trail
  1. 186h agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +64d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +57d agono new post; decay or a rival moving