TransferHype
Winter 2027

James Rodríguez

MF

Minnesota United FC → U.S. Avellino 1912 · Winter 2027

27%
Possible
first reported 10d agolast moved 7d ago
  1. Rumoured
    8 Sept
  2. Talks
    8 Sept
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 8 Septfirst@MatteMoretto: esAvellino in negotiations with James Rodríguez
  2. 8 SeptJoined by @DiMarzio
  3. 10 SeptCooling@DiMarzio: itUS Avellino's pursuit of James Rodríguez has become complicated with two offers rejected; Atlético Nacional also in the picture

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing3 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esAvellino in negotiations with James Rodríguez

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.72claims TalksView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio9d ago ↗+1

    James Rodriguez-@USAvellino1912_, entro domani sera la proposta formale https://t.co/rEicxmCHgA

  • @DiMarzio8d ago ↗no effect

    itUS Avellino 1912 has submitted an offer to James Rodriguez's representatives: one year contract plus one year if promoted, with a fixed salary and performance bonuses

    .@usavellino1912_, inviata la prima offerta all’entourage di James Rodriguez: un anno di contratto più uno in caso di promozione. Una ricca base fissa con molti bonus legati a presenze e obiettivi

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

itUS Avellino's pursuit of James Rodríguez has become complicated with two offers rejected; Atlético Nacional also in the picture

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.70counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

itVerbal contacts between US Avellino 1912 and James Rodríguez

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.70counted at 13%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why 27%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+25
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.72, 74% faded
+4
DiMarzio coolingBroke ittrust 0.70, 63% faded, counted at 60%
−2
DiMarzio advancingtrust 0.70, 72% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
27%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

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228 recomputations▼ 20 points over the trail
  1. −67d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +39d agono new post; decay or a rival moving