Como → Arsenal · Summer 2027

Will Nico Paz join Arsenal? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 8 Sep.

7%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    8 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

💫 Nico Paz has been linked with a stunning move to Arsenal All the details ⬇️ #AFC https://t.co/LGRwGj9WUy

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    🔴 Arsenal want to sign Kenan Yildiz and Nico Paz #AFC https://t.co/atPvjycXD7

Why 7%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045758 Sept7 Oct6 Nov
1413 recomputations▼ 6 points over the trail