VfB Stuttgart → Manchester United · Winter 2027

Will Finn Jeltsch join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 10 Sep.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    10 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

3 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

Man Utd, Arsenal and Liverpool are all interested in Stuttgart defender Finn Jeltsch, per reports 👀 Man Utd are said to be 'monitoring him very closely' 🔴⚫️ #MUFC https://t.co/IkOhZFENDo

claims RumouredView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    🔴⚫️ Manchester United identify Stuttgart defender Finn Jeltsch as key target for 2027 - though have learned the Bundesliga side's stance on a January exit for the talented 20 y/o #MUFC https://t.co/r8AlErY9Kc #transfers

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    🔴⚫️ Manchester United learn chances of January transfer for top Stuttgart defender Finn Jeltsch as INEOS consider long-term future beyond injury-plagued star #MUFC https://t.co/r8AlErYHzK

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457510 Sept21 Sept5 Nov
1364 recomputations▼ 6 points over the trail