Tottenham Hotspur → CR Vasco da Gama · Winter 2027

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    11 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

Tottenham are READY to accept Vasco da Gama's offer for Richarlison ⌛️ However, the forward wants to join on a short-term deal, which could still scupper the Brazilian deadline-day switch 😬 @GraemeBailey | #THFC https://t.co/W3KB4Wswjj

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    ⚪️🚨 Richarlison 𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴𝘵 🔹 Unwanted striker fails to agree terms on £17.1m move to Vasco ga Gama 🔹 Striker only wanted to sign short-term deal til January 🔹 Tottenham Hotspur officials left 'hugely frustrated' by star's failure to accept move @GraemeBailey | #THFC

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Turned down a new contractreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
+6
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457517 Sept: −7 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting18 Sept: −7 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting11 Sept17 Sept7 Oct
640 recomputations▼ 18 points over the trail
  1. −72mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −72mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting