TransferHype
Winter 2027

Richarlison

FW

Tottenham Hotspur F.C. → CR Vasco da Gama · Winter 2027

14%
Unlikely
first reported 8d agolast moved 7d ago
  1. Rumoured
    11 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk7d ago ↗no effect

    ⚪️🚨 Richarlison 𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴𝘵 🔹 Unwanted striker fails to agree terms on £17.1m move to Vasco ga Gama 🔹 Striker only wanted to sign short-term deal til January 🔹 Tottenham Hotspur officials left 'hugely frustrated' by star's failure to accept move @GraemeBailey | #THFC

Why 14%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk coolingBroke ittrust 0.51, 66% faded
−1
Turned down a new contractreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
14%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457511 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%11 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%14 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%15 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 29%16 Sept: 28%16 Sept: 28%16 Sept: 28%16 Sept: 28%16 Sept: 28%17 Sept: 28%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%17 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 21%18 Sept: 14%18 Sept: 14%19 Sept: 14%19 Sept: 14%19 Sept: 14%19 Sept: 14%19 Sept: 14%17 Sept: −7 points, with no new post18 Sept: −7 points, with no new post11 Sept15 Sept19 Sept
188 recomputations▼ 15 points over the trail
  1. −72d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −76h agono new post; decay or a rival moving