TransferHype
Winter 2027

Rio Ngumoha

FW

Liverpool → Arsenal · Winter 2027

Will Rio Ngumoha join Arsenal? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 14 Sep.

7%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    14 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

🤯 Arsenal have been credited with shock interest in Liverpool sensation Rio Ngumoha ⤵️ #AFC #LFC https://t.co/a1Cqy3PJrm

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    The latest on the future of Rio Ngumoha whose current feelings have come to light amid Arsenal's confirmed interest ⤵️ https://t.co/OEMeJpDM2w

Why 7%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
In talks over a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
−1
8 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457522 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting7 Oct: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting18 Oct: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting14 Sept12 Oct5 Nov
1277 recomputations▼ 6 points over the trail
  1. −31mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −329d agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −318d agono new post: we re-read the reporting