Roma → Chelsea · Winter 2027

Will Manu Koné join Chelsea? Unlikely for now: 4%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 14 Sep.

4%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    14 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Liverpool are ready to make a 'determined move' for Roma midfielder Manu Kone, per reports 🔴 Chelsea also remain interested in the French international 🇫🇷 #LFC #CFC https://t.co/smAx01JCF7

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 4%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
4%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct: −6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting14 Sept7 Oct5 Nov
1271 recomputations▼ 8 points over the trail
  1. −629d agono new post: we re-read the reporting