Real Sociedad → Newcastle · Permanent · Winter 2027

Will Luka Sučić join Newcastle? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 15 Sep.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    15 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Newcastle are reportedly ready to trigger the release clause of top Real Sociedad midfielder Luka Sucic in January 👇 #NUFC https://t.co/k42ooz76A6

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457518 Sept: −19 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting15 Sept18 Sept5 Nov
1241 recomputations▼ 34 points over the trail
  1. −192mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting