Real MadridUdinese Calcio · Winter 2027

87%
Imminent
first reported 7h agolast moved 3h ago
  1. Rumoured
    23 Sept
  2. Talks
    23 Sept
  3. Agreement
    23 Sept
  4. Medical
    23 Sept
  5. Done

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

Catch me up

  1. 23 Septfirst@FabrizioRomano: Udinese have reached a verbal agreement with David Alaba
  2. 23 SeptReached Medical
  3. 23 SeptJoined by @DiMarzio

What was actually said

4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancing3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3h agono effect

    ⚪️⚫️👋🏾 David Alaba arrives for medical tests and contract signing next at Udinese. The exclusive story on the defender, now confirmed. @gabspalletta 🎥 https://t.co/laIla8N9Yr

  • @DiMarzio3h agono effect

    itDavid Alaba has arrived at Villa Stuart for medical with Udinese

    David Alaba è arrivato a Villa Stuart per sostenere le visite mediche con l'@Udinese_1896 @SkySport https://t.co/S2ZOXfXpTW

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.81counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why 87%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+88
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.81
+7
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.81, counted at 60%
+2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−11
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
87%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Sept: 87%23 Sept: 87%23 Sept23 Sept
2 recomputations 0 points over the trail