Real Sociedad → Liverpool F.C. · Winter 2027
13%
Unlikely
first reported 7h agolast moved 7h ago
- Rumoured25 Sept
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 2 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- Liverpool F.C.Rumoured13%
- ArsenalRumoured13%
What was actually said
1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportWhy 13%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.51
+2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
Completion probability
13%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.