Brighton → Liverpool · Winter 2027

Will Yankuba Minteh join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 28 Sep.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    28 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

3 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

‼️🔴 Yankuba Minteh has gone public on his future amid fresh January transfer links to #LFC https://t.co/2Xy9fCoSQV

claims RumouredView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗

    🔴 Yankuba Minteh still wants to join Liverpool, but if the Reds - who didn't sell Cody Gakpo - don't act, Man Utd could 'come banging at the doors' #lfc #mufc Full story ⤵️ https://t.co/KLlb5NRvPx

  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗

    🚨 Yankuba Minteh wants to join Liverpool - but Manchester United could hijack the move 👀 https://t.co/dNMzWjM0Ru

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Sept: +6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Sept: +4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Sept4 Oct5 Nov
934 recomputations▼ 5 points over the trail
  1. +61mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +41mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting