Como → Chelsea · Winter 2027

Will Lucas Da Cunha join Chelsea? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 30 Sep.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    30 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨🆕 Chelsea are plotting a move for Como star Lucas Da Cunha The midfielder was one of the shock inclusions in Zinedine Zidane’s first France squad, and Cesc Fabregas has played a major role in his rise ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #CFC https://t.co/ogCtAVodKB

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Sept8 Oct5 Nov
884 recomputations▼ 5 points over the trail