Free agent → Porto · Free · Winter 2027

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 1mo ago
43%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    30 Sept
  2. Talks
    30 Sept
  3. Agreement
    30 Sept
  4. Medical
    30 Sept
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨⚪️🔵 FC Porto agree deal to sign Chris Smalling, here we go! Deal done for the English centre back joining as free agent. Medical underway right now for English defender joining Porto. https://t.co/mdH9g6PcMc

claims Medical+14 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 43% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.81
+14
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
+1
Completion probability
43%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Sept1 Oct3 Oct
56 recomputations▼ 7 points over the trail