Manchester United → Arsenal · Winter 2027

Will Leny Yoro join Arsenal? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 2 Oct.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    2 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

‼️ Leny Yoro is reportedly concerned about his situation at Man Utd, and Arsenal have been linked with a shock move for the defender 🤯 #MUFC #AFC https://t.co/ohlDVCruhf

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045752 Oct7 Oct5 Nov
832 recomputations▼ 5 points over the trail