AC Milan → Manchester United · Winter 2027
Will Youssouf Fofana join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 4 Oct.
8%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 19d ago
- Rumoured4 Oct
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 2 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- since 5 Nov · 1 post
- Manchester UnitedRumoured8%since 4 Oct · 2 posts
What was actually said
2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Denied outright
Denialone reportMentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Why 8%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
TEAMtalk denialBroke ittrust 0.52, 93% faded
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.