SC Freiburg → Chelsea · Winter 2027

Will Igor Matanović join Chelsea? Unlikely for now: 4%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 3 Oct.

4%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    3 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨 EXCLUSIVE 🚨 Man Utd, Arsenal & Chelsea are all showing a strong interest in Freiburg striker Igor Matanovic. The 23-year-old has wowed scouts after 6 goals in 7 games so far this season. Full story to follow... https://t.co/e1prKksg5d

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 4%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
4%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting5 Oct7 Oct5 Nov
774 recomputations▼ 7 points over the trail
  1. −529d agono new post: we re-read the reporting