claims RumouredView on X ↗
Liverpool → Real Madrid · Summer 2027
Will Virgil van Dijk join Real Madrid? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 5 Oct.
7%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
- Rumoured5 Oct
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 3 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- Real MadridRumouredquiet 1mo ago7%since 5 Oct · 1 post
- since 2 Oct · 1 post
- since 27 Sept · 1 post
What was actually said
1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportWhy 7%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
In talks over a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
−2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- +329d agono new post: we re-read the reporting