Arsenal → Atlético Madrid · Winter 2027

Will Noni Madueke join Atlético Madrid? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 6 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 28d ago
  1. Rumoured
    6 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @footyinsider247

🚨 Noni Madueke is attracting interest from Atletico Madrid and Juventus, after not starting a single league game for Arsenal so far this season. 😳❌ How much do you think Madueke is worth? 👀💰 https://t.co/miUJEnIozv

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @caughtoffside28d ago ↗

    🚨 EXCLUSIVE 🚨 Noni Madueke has SIX other clubs interested in him, not just Atletico Madrid and Juventus. However, #AFC currently prefer to keep the player, reports @MarkBrusCOS for @daiIybriefing 📝 Full story to follow... https://t.co/Fw5BDApzOv

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting9 Oct: +6 points, after @caughtoffside6 Oct9 Oct5 Nov
744 recomputations▼ 4 points over the trail
  1. +627d ago@caughtoffside: Atletico Madrid among six clubs interested in Noni Madueke
  2. −529d agono new post: we re-read the reporting