TransferHype
Winter 2027

Gilberto Mora

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Club Tijuana → Arsenal · Winter 2027

Will Gilberto Mora join Arsenal? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 6 Oct.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 22d ago
  1. Rumoured
    6 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 4 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🔴⚪️ Arsenal transfer 𝙀𝙓𝘾𝙇𝙐𝙎𝙄𝙑𝙀 #AFC make contact with super-agent representative of Gilberto Mora - and we understand Arsenal believe they can win the race for the teenager in what will be a new Liga MX record @FrazFletcher https://t.co/vrgQwU2b1M #transfernews

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨🆕 Liverpool are primed to launch an eye-catching move for Gilberto Mora in January They are ready to battle Arsenal for the Mexican sensation ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #LFC https://t.co/49CDAxLqKb

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct12 Oct6 Nov
709 recomputations▼ 7 points over the trail