Bayern Munich → Liverpool · Summer 2027

Will Michael Olise join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 9 Sep.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    9 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago

🔴 Bayern Munich plan new contract for Michael Olise amid Liverpool interest #FCBayern #LFC https://t.co/d2jLT5P8pd

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    🔴 Bayern Munich set to learn Michael Olise's fate 'next summer', with Liverpool still keen ⤵️ #LFC https://t.co/bEN8ny87Vp

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🔴 Bad news for Liverpool in regard to a potential deal for Bayern Munich winger Michael Olise #LFC #FCBayern https://t.co/LcIhY29Xuy

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
In talks over a new contractreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
−1
5 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457525 Oct: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting7 Oct18 Oct6 Nov
706 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail
  1. −312d agono new post: we re-read the reporting