Borussia Dortmund → Manchester United · Winter 2027

Will Daniel Svensson join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 11%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 29 Sep.

11%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 3d ago
  1. Rumoured
    29 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 1mo ago

🚨🆕 Manchester United are interested in FOUR Borussia Dortmund stars: Serhou Guirassy, Daniel Svensson, Felix Nmecha and Jobe Bellingham Their scouts were in attendance to watch the quartet against Bayern Munich on Saturday ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #MUFC https://t.co/sOmmDwDMbI

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗

    🆕 Borussia Dortmund left-back Daniel Svensson has reacted to interest from Man Utd, Liverpool and Arsenal 👇 #MUFC #LFC #AFC https://t.co/SqBCjTu4Sf

Why 11%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045752 Nov: +9 points, after @TEAMtalk11 Oct2 Nov5 Nov
608 recomputations▲ 7 points over the trail
  1. +93d ago@TEAMtalk: Manchester United are interested in Daniel Svensson; scouts watched him against Bayern Munich