Brentford → Arsenal · Winter 2027

Will Michael Kayode join Arsenal? Unlikely for now: 4%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 4 Oct.

4%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    4 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨EXCLUSIVE🚨 Liverpool, Arsenal, and Tottenham Hotspur are keeping tabs on Brentford defender Michael Kayode. https://t.co/FV6oqoJ14y

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 4%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
4%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457511 Oct27 Oct5 Nov
608 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail