Fulham → Manchester United · Permanent · Winter 2027

Will Josh King join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 11 Oct.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 25d agolast moved 24d ago
  1. Rumoured
    11 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Fulham have made it clear they have no intention of parting company with Josh King in January, as Man Utd circle 👀 @FrazFletcher ✍️ | #FulhamFC #MUFC https://t.co/r2BUUu0YJW

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @footyinsider247

🚨 Manchester United have been told Fulham could accept offers upwards of £50million for Josh King, sources have told Football Insider - with our value of the youngster nearly £30million less. Should Michael Carrick's side make a move in January - tell us 𝐍𝐎𝐖. ⬇️ 🔗 https://t.co/KMmov0NdUB

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk25d ago ↗

    🔴Manchester United have been told an offer above £50m could land Fulham talent Josh King next summer #MUFC #FulhamFC https://t.co/WNP6W0dypK

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457512 Oct: −6 points, after @TEAMtalk11 Oct15 Oct5 Nov
606 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail
  1. −624d ago@TEAMtalk: Fulham have made clear they have no intention of selling Josh King to Man Utd in January