claims RumouredView on X ↗
Bayern Munich → Manchester City · Winter 2027
Will Aleksandar Pavlović join Manchester City? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 12 Oct.
9%
Unlikely
first reported 24d agolast moved 24d ago
- Rumoured12 Oct
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 2 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- since 12 Oct · 2 posts
- Manchester CityRumouredquiet 24d ago9%since 12 Oct · 2 posts
What was actually said
2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Why 9%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.