Benfica → Chelsea · Permanent · Winter 2027

Will Daniel Banjaqui join Chelsea? Unlikely for now: 10%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 16 Oct.

10%
Unlikely
first reported 20d agolast moved 13d ago
  1. Rumoured
    16 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

🔵🔥 Chelsea 𝙀𝙓𝘾𝙇𝙐𝙎𝙄𝙑𝙀 🔸 Blues identify Benfica teenager Daniel Banjaqui as leading right-back target 🔸 Teenager has an appealing €45m exit clause 🔸 Xabi Alonso looking to the future after 𝙖𝙣𝙤𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙧 Reece James injury blow @FrazFletcher | #CFC

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 19d ago

🆕 Chelsea and Liverpool are both interested in £30m-rated Portuguese right-back Daniel Banjaqui 🇵🇹 @FrazFletcher #CFC #LFC https://t.co/yEgPEDyY8i

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk19d ago ↗

    Liverpool are being backed to snap up top Benfica right-back Daniel Banjaqui, ahead of the likes of Chelsea 👇 #LFC https://t.co/y0MA9qAMo5

Why 10%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457516 Oct20 Oct5 Nov
491 recomputations▼ 9 points over the trail