Newcastle → Arsenal · Winter 2027

Will Bazoumana Touré join Arsenal? Unlikely for now: 5%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 16 Oct.

5%
Unlikely
first reported 20d agolast moved 20d ago
  1. Rumoured
    16 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Manchester United and Arsenal are keeping a close eye on Bazoumana Toure's progress at Newcastle 👀 Both clubs are huge admirers of the 20-year-old ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #MUFC #AFC #NUFC https://t.co/ja4B89uOgn

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 5%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
5%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457517 Oct18 Oct5 Nov
480 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail