Aston Villa → Bayern Munich · Winter 2027

Will Johan Manzambi join Bayern Munich? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 19 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 18d agolast moved 17d ago
  1. Rumoured
    19 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

Johan Manzambi is becoming Aston Villa's new superstar, and his brilliant form hasn't gone unnoticed 👀 Bayern Munich and Barcelona are among the clubs keeping close tabs on his progress ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #AVFC https://t.co/RifSBwXuGt

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk17d ago ↗

    Johan Manzambi's form at Aston Villa hasn't gone unnoticed 👀 Barcelona and Bayern are both keeping tabs on the 21-year-old, TEAMtalk can reveal 🗣️ https://t.co/tqCM05L07b

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457519 Oct: +5 points, after @TEAMtalk19 Oct22 Oct6 Nov
420 recomputations▲ 3 points over the trail
  1. +517d ago@TEAMtalk: Bayern keeping tabs on 21-year-old Johan Manzambi at Aston Villa