Borussia Dortmund → Manchester City · Winter 2027

Will Mathis Albert join Manchester City? Unlikely for now: 10%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 19 Oct.

10%
Unlikely
first reported 17d agolast moved 7d ago
  1. Rumoured
    19 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 17d ago

Manchester City are frontrunners to sign Borussia Dortmund sensation Mathis Albert 🔥 Chelsea are also keen on the 17-year-old, who faces an uncertain future 👀 @FrazFletcher | #MCFC #CFC https://t.co/jciAMZZVGi

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk17d ago ↗

    Manchester City and Chelsea are in the mix to sign 17-year-old Borussia Dortmund star Mathis Albert 🌟 The winger is considered one of the United States' most exciting talents ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #MCFC https://t.co/LKH9II5gSq

Why 10%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Oct: +5 points, after @TEAMtalk20 Oct29 Oct5 Nov
407 recomputations▲ 4 points over the trail
  1. +57d ago@TEAMtalk: Manchester City are frontrunners to sign Borussia Dortmund's Mathis Albert