Atlético Madrid → Arsenal · Winter 2027

Will Álex Baena join Arsenal? Unlikely for now: 13%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 22 Oct.

13%
Unlikely
first reported 14d agolast moved 2d ago
  1. Rumoured
    22 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

Arsenal are reportedly planning a move for Atletico Madrid winger Alex Baena in January 🔥 #AFC https://t.co/NNHz7L5X9D

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@footyinsider247 had it first, 8d ago

🔥 𝙀𝙓𝘾𝙇𝙐𝙎𝙄𝙑𝙀 Arsenal among sides taking a strong interest in Alex Baena. And while Atletico Madrid will likely block all approaches for the Spain winger in January, a big-money summer move cannot be ruled out. @FrazFletcher | #AFC https://t.co/0GBJtGFnlS

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @footyinsider2478d ago ↗

    🚨 Arsenal will have to wait until next summer before making any attempt to sign Atletico Madrid winger Alex Baena, sources have told Football Insider. Would he be a brilliant signing for the Gunners? Vote NOW 👇 🔗 https://t.co/N43EgNpH5K https://t.co/fgwINBquFi

Why 13%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52, 86% faded
+1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Oct29 Oct5 Nov
335 recomputations▼ 6 points over the trail