Manchester United → Everton · Loan · Winter 2027

Will Marcus Rashford join Everton? Unlikely for now: 11%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 25 Oct.

11%
Unlikely
first reported 11d agolast moved 7d ago
  1. Rumoured
    25 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Everton face major obstacles to signing Marcus Rashford, though Man Utd are open to sanctioning a January loan deal 🔴⚫️ The Toffees have identified four potential alternatives as they look to sign a striker this winter ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #EFC https://t.co/TIru5CCpz0

claims Talks−1 pointView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

‼️ Everton have reportedly opened talks for Marcus Rashford, while Man Utd have been linked with a new left winger 👇 #MUFC #EFC https://t.co/8JgBEedTzk

claims Talks+1 pointView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Jack Grealish misses Everton v Newcastle for discipline reasons, amid interest in Marcus Rashford 👀 #EFC https://t.co/XxxDe9mhmQ

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 11%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk coolingBroke ittrust 0.52, 64% faded
−1
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52, 79% faded, counted at 60%
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Oct: −5 points, after @TEAMtalk25 Oct28 Oct5 Nov
269 recomputations▼ 9 points over the trail
  1. −57d ago@TEAMtalk: Everton face major obstacles to signing Marcus Rashford, though Man Utd are open to sanctioning a January loan deal