Twente → Manchester United · Winter 2027

Will Ruud Nijstad join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 6%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 26 Oct.

6%
Unlikely
first reported 10d agolast moved 10d ago
  1. Rumoured
    26 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Ruud Nijstad has rapidly become one of the most exciting young centre-backs in Europe, with TEAMtalk able to reveal that Manchester United and Chelsea are showing interest in the FC Twente star.🔥 #MUFC #CFC @FrazFletcher https://t.co/TB2VBcXELE

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 6%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
6%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457527 Oct28 Oct6 Nov
234 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail