Monaco → Chelsea · Winter 2027

Will Paris Brunner join Chelsea? Unlikely for now: 6%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 28 Oct.

6%
Unlikely
first reported 9d agolast moved 9d ago
  1. Rumoured
    28 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨🆕 Arsenal and Chelsea are showing interest in Monaco striker Paris Brunner, who has had a spectacular start to the season 🔥 Monaco's financial situation could mean a transfer is possible in January ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #AFC #CFC https://t.co/m6SbBS9D8p

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 6%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
6%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Oct30 Oct5 Nov
203 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail