TransferHype
Winter 2027

Alexis Mac Allister

MF

Liverpool → Real Madrid · Winter 2027

Will Alexis Mac Allister join Real Madrid? Possible for now: 31%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 29 Oct.

31%
Possible
first reported 7d agolast moved 6d ago
  1. Rumoured
    29 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

🚨 Real Madrid to offer Liverpool their pick of three players to lower cost of signing Alexis Mac Allister in 2027, with Trent Alexander-Arnold amongst the trio #LFC Full details ⬇️ https://t.co/HqYKW28q28

claims Rumoured+3 pointsView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

⚪️Jose Mourinho is said to be in favour of a Real Madrid move for Liverpool midfielder Alexis Mac Allister #RMFC #LFC https://t.co/ScjumSKEkZ

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 31%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52, 57% faded
+3
Turned down a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
+8
Turned down a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
+5
Turned down a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
+3
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
31%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Oct: +10 points, after @TEAMtalk4 Nov: +7 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Oct2 Nov5 Nov
172 recomputations▲ 6 points over the trail
  1. +106d ago@TEAMtalk: Real Madrid to offer Liverpool their pick of three players to lower cost of signing Alexis Mac Allister in 2027
  2. +71d agono new post: we re-read the reporting