Lecce → Bournemouth · Winter 2027

Will Tiago Gabriel join Bournemouth? Unlikely for now: 4%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 30 Oct.

4%
Unlikely
first reported 6d agolast moved 6d ago
  1. Rumoured
    30 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Crystal Palace are plotting a January move for Lecce defender Tiago Gabriel 👀 They face competition from top Serie A sides, as well as Fulham and Bournemouth ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #CPFC https://t.co/n9oo24Ucnw

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Why 4%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.52, 58% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−8
Completion probability
4%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Oct30 Oct5 Nov
149 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail