Monaco → Manchester United · Winter 2027
Will Folarin Balogun join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 13%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 1 Nov.
13%
Unlikely
first reported 5d agolast moved 4d ago
- Rumoured1 Nov
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
What was actually said
2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Why 13%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.52, 47% faded
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.