Monaco → Manchester United · Winter 2027

Will Folarin Balogun join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 13%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 1 Nov.

13%
Unlikely
first reported 5d agolast moved 4d ago
  1. Rumoured
    1 Nov
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

🔴 Man Utd offered the chance to sign Folarin Balogun from AS Monaco in January @GraemeBailey | #MUFC https://t.co/AmqHhbB5Gs

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4d ago ↗

    🚨 Manchester United are among the clubs to have been approached about a potential move for Folarin Balogun, TEAMtalk understands 🇺🇸 https://t.co/5aFaSgby0d

Why 13%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.52, 47% faded
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Nov2 Nov5 Nov
101 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail