Arsenal → Real Madrid · Summer 2027

Will Riccardo Calafiori join Real Madrid? Unlikely for now: 13%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 2 Nov.

13%
Unlikely
first reported 4d agolast moved 4d ago
  1. Rumoured
    2 Nov
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

⚪️ ‼️ 𝙀𝙓𝘾𝙇𝙐𝙎𝙄𝙑𝙀 Real Madrid planning 𝘮𝘢𝘫𝘰𝘳 bid to prise Riccardo Calafiori away from Arsenal next summer - he's Jose Mourinho's dream target. Despite that, the Gunners have plans of their own to extend the Italian's stay.... @GraemeBailey | #AFC #RMCF

claims Rumoured+4 pointsView on X ↗

Why 13%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52
+4
In talks over a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
−3
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045752 Nov4 Nov5 Nov
77 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail