G.D. Estoril Praia → Brighton · Winter 2027

Will Jordan Arnolin join Brighton? Unlikely for now: 4%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 4 Nov.

4%
Unlikely
first reported 1d agolast moved 1d ago
  1. Rumoured
    4 Nov
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Brighton are monitoring Estoril's versatile defender Jordan Arnolin, with a view to a potential January move 👀 Barcelona and Lille are also big admirers of the 18-year-old ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #BHAFC https://t.co/U3CTjGa9jC

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Why 4%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.52
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−9
Completion probability
4%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045754 Nov4 Nov6 Nov
30 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail