Al Ahli FC → Manchester United · Loan · Winter 2027

Will Ivan Toney join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 13%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 4 Nov.

13%
Unlikely
first reported 1d agolast moved 1d ago
  1. Rumoured
    4 Nov
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

🔴⚫️❗️ Man Utd will prioritise a loan bid if acting on their interest in Ivan Toney in January #MUFC ℹ️ Toney has scored 83 goals in 105 appearances for Al-Ahli since leaving Brentford Full details 📎 https://t.co/2S38bdZf92

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @footyinsider2471d ago ↗

    Man Utd are more likely to sign Al-Ahli striker Ivan Toney on loan in January rather than on a permanent deal, sources have told Football Insider 💥 Is he the answer to Michael Carrick's striker issues? Vote in article NOW 👇 https://t.co/bToY4u1mTI https://t.co/aeed8CA5js

Why 13%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.52
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045754 Nov5 Nov5 Nov
29 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail