Chelsea → Sunderland · Loan · Winter 2027

Will Jamie Gittens join Sunderland? Unlikely for now: 3%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 6 Nov.

3%
Unlikely
first reported 5h agolast moved 5h ago
  1. Rumoured
    6 Nov
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 5 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨🆕 Chelsea are READY to sanction a January loan for Jamie Gittens, with Roma leading the race 👋 However, Leeds United, Sunderland, Everton and Crystal Palace are also keeping close tabs on the situation ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #CFC https://t.co/0qCwQ4KIEP

claims Rumoured+2 pointsView on X ↗

Why 3%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.53
+2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−11
Completion probability
3%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045756 Nov6 Nov
2 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail