Borussia MönchengladbachLeeds United F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 20d ago
90%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 2mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    12 Jul
  2. Talks
    12 Jul
  3. Agreement
    15 Aug
  4. Medical
    15 Aug
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 12 Julfirst@TEAMtalk: Leeds United preparing a second bid for Nico Elvedi
  2. 13 AugJoined by @Plettigoal
  3. 15 AugReached Agreement
  4. 15 AugReached Medical
  5. 15 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @JacobsBen

What was actually said

6 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

Reported as agreed

Advancing3 reports, led by @Plettigoal
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗
2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano1mo agono effect

    🚨🟡🔵 Leeds agree deal with Borussia Monchengladbach for Nico Elvedi. Club to club agreement done, as @ZinnyBoswell reports for fee worth £6.8m plus add-ons. Elvedi, not featuring for Gladbach today as he joins #LUFC. https://t.co/x9Qj1wlj5L

  • @JacobsBen1mo agono effect

    Leeds agree a deal to sign defender Nico Elvedi, as first called by @Plettigoal. Understand the fee is €8m+€2m and Borussia Mönchengladbach retain a sell on clause. Elvedi has been on Leeds' radar for over a year.🇨🇭 https://t.co/sHNOSV6cbC

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago
JournalistTier 2seeded, not yet measuredclaims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago

    Leeds United are reportedly preparing a second bid for Nico Elvedi 🔥 Daniel Farke is very keen on a reunion with the Swiss World Cup star 🇨🇭 #LUFC https://t.co/3cRNIImGxI

Why it read 90% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+88
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 82% faded
+1
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 82% faded, counted at 60%
+1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
90%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457515 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%15 Aug: 96%16 Aug: 96%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 94%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%23 Aug: −4 points, with no new post15 Aug16 Aug28 Aug
37 recomputations 6 points over the trail
  1. 426d agono new post; decay or a rival moving