Borussia Mönchengladbach → Leeds United · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
90%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 4mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    12 Jul
  2. Talks
    12 Jul
  3. Agreement
    15 Aug
  4. Medical
    15 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 12 Julfirst@TEAMtalk: Leeds United preparing a second bid for Nico Elvedi
  2. 13 AugJoined by @Plettigoal
  3. 15 AugReached Agreement
  4. 15 AugReached Medical
  5. 15 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @JacobsBen

What was actually said

6 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 EXCL | Nico Elvedi to Leeds United - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement now reached with Borussia M’gladbach. Transfer fee: €10m + 15 % sell-on. Paperwork is now being finalised and the medical is being prepared. The full agreement between Elvedi/Leeds on a contract until 2029 https://t.co/xlhMrLjAp0

claims Medical+1 pointView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancing3 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨⏳ EXCL | Leeds United and Borussia M’gladbach have reached a verbal agreement on a transfer for Nico Elvedi worth €10m + 15% sell-on clause. Elvedi not included in Gladbach’s squad for the friendly against Aston Villa today in order not to jeopardise the deal. However, it https://t.co/1XcHCCws43

claims Agreement+1 pointView on X ↗
2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🟡🔵 Leeds agree deal with Borussia Monchengladbach for Nico Elvedi. Club to club agreement done, as @ZinnyBoswell reports for fee worth £6.8m plus add-ons. Elvedi, not featuring for Gladbach today as he joins #LUFC. https://t.co/x9Qj1wlj5L

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Leeds agree a deal to sign defender Nico Elvedi, as first called by @Plettigoal. Understand the fee is €8m+€2m and Borussia Mönchengladbach retain a sell on clause. Elvedi has been on Leeds' radar for over a year.🇨🇭 https://t.co/sHNOSV6cbC

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal@TEAMtalk had it first, 4mo ago

🚨⏳ EXCL | Nico Elvedi and Leeds United have reached a full agreement over a contract until 2029. Elvedi very open to move to the Premier League before Deadline Day. Leeds are preparing an offer and are expected to submit it soon. #LUFC Borussia M’gladbach are ready to sell https://t.co/OD6aTsVGQR

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    Leeds United are reportedly preparing a second bid for Nico Elvedi 🔥 Daniel Farke is very keen on a reunion with the Swiss World Cup star 🇨🇭 #LUFC https://t.co/3cRNIImGxI

Why it read 90% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+88
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 82% faded
+1
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 82% faded, counted at 60%
+1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
90%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting15 Aug16 Aug28 Aug
37 recomputations▼ 6 points over the trail
  1. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting