JacobsBen

@JacobsBenJournalist
Measured accuracy
80%
weighted by how confident each call was
Starting tier
T2
superseded by measurement
Calls scored
316
266 right · 50 wrong
Brier score
0.101
lower is better; 0.25 is a coin flip

Measured trust over time

.00.25.50.751.00assigned tier2 Sept: 0.47 from 325 resolved reports3 Sept: 0.47 from 325 resolved reports3 Sept: 0.57 from 327 resolved reports4 Sept: 0.57 from 327 resolved reports4 Sept: 0.57 from 328 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.57 from 328 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.64 from 302 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.51 from 220 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.64 from 302 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.64 from 302 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.64 from 302 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.64 from 302 resolved reports6 Sept: 0.64 from 302 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.66 from 300 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.66 from 300 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.66 from 300 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.66 from 303 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.66 from 303 resolved reports8 Sept: 0.66 from 303 resolved reports9 Sept: 0.66 from 303 resolved reports10 Sept: 0.66 from 303 resolved reports11 Sept: 0.77 from 287 resolved reports11 Sept: 0.78 from 295 resolved reports12 Sept: 0.78 from 295 resolved reports12 Sept: 0.78 from 295 resolved reports12 Sept: 0.79 from 316 resolved reports13 Sept: 0.80 from 316 resolved reports14 Sept: 0.80 from 316 resolved reports15 Sept: 0.80 from 316 resolved reports16 Sept: 0.80 from 316 resolved reports17 Sept: 0.80 from 316 resolved reports18 Sept: 0.80 from 316 resolved reports19 Sept: 0.80 from 316 resolved reports2 Sept19 Sept
Measured above the tier they were given.

Resolved calls

40 shown

Hits and misses are listed together in date order, not cherry-picked.