København → Al-Ettifaq · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    11 Jun
  2. Talks
    11 Jun
  3. Agreement
    18 Jun
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 11 Junfirst@FabrizioRomano: Jordan Larsson has agreed personal terms with Al Ettifaq; talks to continue between clubs.
  2. 11 JunJoined by @JacobsBen
  3. 18 JunReached Agreement

What was actually said

4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @JacobsBen@JacobsBen had it first, 5mo ago

🚨 Exclusive: Al-Ettifaq's move for Jordan Larsson has now received league approval. Clubs now exchanging paperwork. $1.5m package. Larsson is likely to make his debut against Cristiano Ronaldo's Al-Nassr on Tuesday. https://t.co/j8E6YhVOVJ

claims Agreement+1 pointView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen5mo ago ↗

    Al-Ettifaq have agreed a $1.5m fee with Copenhagen for Jordan Larsson. Deal is still pending league approval.🇸🇦 https://t.co/tWND3p1EfK

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨 Jordan Larsson has agreed personal terms with Saudi side Al Ettifaq. 🇸🇦 Copenhagen star has accepted the contract proposal after 28 G/A this season, talks to continue now. https://t.co/AxzcbvWYOK

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen5mo ago ↗

    Al-Ettifaq are close to signing Jordan Larsson from Copenhagen. Deal at an advanced stage. Copenhagen want $1.5m. Ettifaq prepared to pay $1m plus add-ons.🇸🇦 https://t.co/VHYwqW3mlT

Why it read 24% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+22
Ben Jacobs advancingtrust 0.55, 79% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%)
+1
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
24%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −13 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −4 points, after @FabrizioRomano, @JacobsBen, @JacobsBen29 Aug: −23 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting23 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
80 recomputations▼ 50 points over the trail
  1. −232mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −132mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −42mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Jordan Larsson has agreed personal terms with Al Ettifaq; talks to continue between clubs. · @JacobsBen: Al-Ettifaq close to signing Jordan Larsson from Copenhagen with deal at advanced stage; valuation gap between clubs on fee. · @JacobsBen: Al-Ettifaq have agreed a $1.5m fee with Copenhagen for Jordan Larsson, pending league approval
  5. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting