Strasbourg Alsace → Crystal Palace · Free · Summer 2026
✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
- Rumoured1 Sept
- Talks1 Sept
- Agreement1 Sept
- Medical—
- Done—
Catch me up
- 1 Septfirst@JacobsBen: Crystal Palace exploring a late-window move to sign Ben Chilwell from Strasbourg
- 1 SeptReached Talks
- 1 SeptReached Agreement
- 1 SeptJoined by @FabrizioRomano
What was actually said
4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as agreed
Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
- @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗+1
BREAKING: Ben Chilwell to Crystal Palace now agreed. Will join on a free transfer from Strasbourg. https://t.co/Ob4E1BHZSn
Reported as being in talks
Advancingone reportMentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Why it read 82% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+59
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+15
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+5
Ben Jacobs advancingtrust 0.55, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
82%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting