FC Bayern Munich → Newcastle · Permanent · Summer 2026
It did not happen
last read 20% before it was settled
- Rumoured10 Jul
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Catch me up
- 10 Julfirst@TEAMtalk: Newcastle being tipped to look into signing Joao Palhinha as Bruno Guimaraes exit accelerates
- 10 AugReached Talks
- 15 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @JacobsBen, @Plettigoal
What was actually said
5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as being in talks
Advancing2 reports, led by @JacobsBen1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
- @Plettigoal1mo ago ↗+1
🚨⏳ Newcastle United are now in direct talks with FC Bayern over Joao Palhinha. Bayern want to sell and Newcastle are aware of that. #NUFC A loan with an option or obligation to buy is currently not an option for Bayern. @SkySportDE 🇵🇹 https://t.co/qGy9VU1Lx9
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutral2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@TEAMtalk had it first, 1mo ago1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportWhy it read 20% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
JacobsBen advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 68% faded
+4
Plettigoal advancingtrust 0.55, 67% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−16
Completion probability
20%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −141mo agono new post; decay or a rival moving
- −1327d agono new post; decay or a rival moving