Plettigoal

@PlettigoalJournalist
Measured accuracy
85%
weighted by how confident each call was
Starting tier
T2
superseded by measurement
Calls scored
234
204 right · 30 wrong
Brier score
0.074
lower is better; 0.25 is a coin flip

Measured trust over time

.00.25.50.751.00assigned tier2 Sept: 0.39 from 243 resolved reports3 Sept: 0.39 from 243 resolved reports3 Sept: 0.47 from 244 resolved reports4 Sept: 0.47 from 244 resolved reports4 Sept: 0.47 from 244 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.47 from 244 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.67 from 202 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.57 from 163 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.67 from 202 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.67 from 202 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.67 from 202 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.67 from 202 resolved reports6 Sept: 0.67 from 202 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.70 from 199 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.70 from 199 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.70 from 199 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.70 from 201 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.70 from 201 resolved reports8 Sept: 0.70 from 201 resolved reports9 Sept: 0.70 from 201 resolved reports10 Sept: 0.70 from 201 resolved reports11 Sept: 0.83 from 187 resolved reports11 Sept: 0.84 from 197 resolved reports12 Sept: 0.84 from 197 resolved reports12 Sept: 0.84 from 197 resolved reports12 Sept: 0.85 from 234 resolved reports13 Sept: 0.85 from 234 resolved reports14 Sept: 0.85 from 234 resolved reports15 Sept: 0.85 from 234 resolved reports16 Sept: 0.85 from 234 resolved reports17 Sept: 0.85 from 234 resolved reports18 Sept: 0.85 from 234 resolved reports19 Sept: 0.85 from 234 resolved reports2 Sept19 Sept
Measured above the tier they were given.

Resolved calls

40 shown

Hits and misses are listed together in date order, not cherry-picked.