TransferHype
Winter 2027

Edson Álvarez

DF

West Ham United → 1. FC Köln · Loan · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 10% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    6 Jul
  2. Talks
    6 Jul
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 6 Julfirst@Plettigoal: 1. FC Köln exploring a deal to sign Edson Álvarez from West Ham United; player is open to the move.
  2. 9 JulReached Agreement
  3. 17 JulCooling@Plettigoal: 1. FC Köln still hoping to complete the deal but the overall package remains too expensive at this stage

What was actually said

4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🚨⚠️ SL Benfica have entered the race to sign Edson Álvarez. 1. FC Köln are still hoping to complete the deal, but the overall package remains too expensive at this stage. It now remains to be seen what Benfica are prepared to put on the table. #Effzeh @SkySportDE 🇲🇽 https://t.co/1ueNokWznB

claims TalksView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨⏳ 1. FC Köln and West Ham have reached an agreement in principle over a loan deal for Edson Álvarez. The main issue is reaching a full agreement with Álvarez over his salary. 28 y/o leader would have to take a significant pay cut to join the #Effzeh. He also has offers from https://t.co/NRxMnt6hRr

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨💣 EXCLUSIVE | 1. FC Köln are exploring a deal to sign Edson Álvarez. Difficult to complete, but Köln are trying. The 28 y/o midfielder is open to joining #Effzeh with immediate effect. Álvarez remains under contract with West Ham United until 2028. @SkySportDE 🇲🇽 https://t.co/KyL6nnRI3E

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal4mo ago ↗

    🚨🐐 More on the exclusive news about Edson Álvarez and 1. FC Köln: West Ham are 100% ready to sell the Mexican leader this summer. A loan deal is also an option if required. Álvarez is looking for a new challenge and has opened the door to joining #Effzeh. The clubs are https://t.co/uZY4PBamAC

Why it read 10% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▼ 4 points over the trail