TransferHype
Winter 2027

Fisnik Asllani

FW

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim → RB Leipzig · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 14% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    20 Jul
  2. Talks
    20 Jul
  3. Agreement
    5 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 20 Julfirst@Plettigoal: Personal terms between RB Leipzig and Fisnik Asllani close to being agreed; no full agreement reached yet
  2. 5 AugReached Agreement
  3. 5 AugReached Medical
  4. 5 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  5. 7 AugCooling@JacobsBen: Move from Hoffenheim to Leipzig fell through following medical concerns
  6. 7 AugJoined by @JacobsBen

What was actually said

6 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

🚨❌ Official: The Fisnik Asllani deal with RB Leipzig has collapsed due to medical concerns. Everything had been fully agreed. Leipzig wanted to trigger the €25m release clause. The transfer is now off. Asllani will not join RB Leipzig and stay in Hoffenheim. 🇽🇰 https://t.co/YUm5nZJGSJ https://t.co/9C3sy218q6

claims Medical−1 pointView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨💥 Fisnik Asllani to RB Leipzig - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with TSG Hoffenheim. Transfer fee: around €25m. The 23 y/o promising striker is set to sign a contract until 2031. His medical is scheduled to begin on Thursday in Salzburg. He was already spotted at Hotel https://t.co/rTZERjLAqF

claims MedicalView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🔴⚪️ RB Leipzig complete signing before officially selling Yan Diomande: deal done for Fisnik Asllani as new striker for €30m package. Medical already booked as @schfer_g reported. The plan, reported for several days: sign 2 or 3 players, get at least 1 done before giving https://t.co/ztKOpFJVfH

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Fisnik Asllani's move from Hoffenheim to Leipzig has fallen through following concerns during the medical.❌ https://t.co/00pAp9tLtP

claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal@Plettigoal had it first, 4mo ago

🚨❌ RB Leipzig are not in negotiations for Mohamed Amoura. There are also no talks with VfL Wolfsburg. The reports are being denied by all clubs involved and are wide of the mark. Instead, RB Leipzig are fully focused on finalising the Fisnik Asllani deal. @SkySportDE 🇩🇿 https://t.co/S0vVwbIjXj

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal4mo ago ↗

    🚨🆕 Personal terms between RB Leipzig and Fisnik Asllani are close to being agreed, as revealed last week. However, no full agreement has been reached yet. Leipzig are keen to sign the 23 y/o promising striker from TSG Hoffenheim, whose release clause is worth around https://t.co/VeUiYhKN3K

Why it read 14% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+33
Florian Plettenberg denialBroke ittrust 0.55, 97% faded
−1
Contract news at his clubreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−18
5 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
14%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −51 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept: −19 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations▼ 74 points over the trail
  1. −512mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −192mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting