TSG 1899 HoffenheimRB Leipzig · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 14% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    20 Jul
  2. Talks
    20 Jul
  3. Agreement
    5 Aug
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 20 Julfirst@Plettigoal: Personal terms between RB Leipzig and Fisnik Asllani close to being agreed; no full agreement reached yet
  2. 5 AugReached Agreement
  3. 5 AugReached Medical
  4. 5 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  5. 7 AugCooling@JacobsBen: Move from Hoffenheim to Leipzig fell through following medical concerns
  6. 7 AugJoined by @JacobsBen

What was actually said

6 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims MedicalView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano1mo agono effect

    🚨🔴⚪️ RB Leipzig complete signing before officially selling Yan Diomande: deal done for Fisnik Asllani as new striker for €30m package. Medical already booked as @schfer_g reported. The plan, reported for several days: sign 2 or 3 players, get at least 1 done before giving https://t.co/ztKOpFJVfH

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal@Plettigoal had it first, 2mo ago
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 13%claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal2mo agono effect

    🚨🆕 Personal terms between RB Leipzig and Fisnik Asllani are close to being agreed, as revealed last week. However, no full agreement has been reached yet. Leipzig are keen to sign the 23 y/o promising striker from TSG Hoffenheim, whose release clause is worth around https://t.co/VeUiYhKN3K

Why it read 14% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+33
Plettigoal denialBroke ittrust 0.55, 97% faded
−1
Signed a new contractreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−18
5 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
14%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%31 Aug: 35%31 Aug: 35%31 Aug: 35%31 Aug: 35%31 Aug: 35%31 Aug: 35%31 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 34%1 Sept: 15%1 Sept: 15%2 Sept: 14%29 Aug: −51 points, with no new post1 Sept: −19 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 74 points over the trail
  1. 5119d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 1915d agono new post; decay or a rival moving