Southampton F.C.S.L. Benfica · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 17% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    12 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @David_Ornstein@JacobsBen had it first, 1mo ago
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen1mo agono effect

    Benfica are also in talks for Southampton's Taylor Harwood-Bellis as another option.😇 https://t.co/un7OxLe7JP

Why it read 17% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+20
David_Ornstein advancingtrust 0.75, 91% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%)
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
17%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457515 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%15 Aug: 48%16 Aug: 48%16 Aug: 46%16 Aug: 46%16 Aug: 46%16 Aug: 46%16 Aug: 46%16 Aug: 46%16 Aug: 46%16 Aug: 45%16 Aug: 45%16 Aug: 45%16 Aug: 45%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%28 Aug: 28%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%1 Sept: 17%23 Aug: −14 points, with no new post28 Aug: −3 points, with no new post29 Aug: −7 points, with no new post15 Aug28 Aug1 Sept
102 recomputations 31 points over the trail
  1. 1427d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 722d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 323d agono new post; decay or a rival moving