Manchester City → Al Qadsiah · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 3mo ago
32%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 3mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    13 Aug
  2. Talks
    13 Aug
  3. Agreement
    13 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    14 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 13 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Al Qadsiah in advanced talks with Manchester City to sign Reijnders; club-to-club agreement close around 60M fee pending player approval
  2. 13 AugJoined by @David_Ornstein, @JacobsBen
  3. 13 AugReached Agreement
  4. 14 AugReached Done

What was actually said

10 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing4 reports, led by @David_Ornstein@FabrizioRomano had it first, 3mo ago

🚨 Al Qadsiah in advanced talks to sign Tijjani Reijnders from Manchester City. Deal for 28yo midfielder not agreed but #AlQadsiah working to finalise with #MCFC + Netherlands international in next days @TheAthleticFC after @FabrizioRomano @yagosabuncuoglu https://t.co/L6LTL6h6LI

claims Talks+2 pointsView on X ↗
3 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🇸🇦 Understand Al Qadsiah are in advanced talks with Manchester City to sign Tijjani Reijnders! Club to club agreement close around 60M fee but green light still needed from Dutch midfielder. Nottingham Forest remain keen, all depends on Reijnders’ decision. https://t.co/icmQOb0ate

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Manchester City keen to sign Enzo Fernandez and could recoup much of Chelsea's £120m asking price via the departures of Rodri (Barcelona second bid rejected but talks ongoing) and Tijjani Reijnders (Al-Qadsiah in advanced talks). Enzo Maresca wants to reunite with Fernandez, but https://t.co/kbwQ5WJzhE

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Al-Qadsiah closing in on a deal to sign Tijjani Reijnders. Advanced and positive talks ongoing for a package in region of €60m. Optimism the deal will happen. Reijnders viewed as a world class and peak age player by Qadsiah, who are keen to strengthen in midfield ahead of their https://t.co/R06f8MAFE8

Reported as agreed

Advancing5 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@FabrizioRomano had it first, 3mo ago

🚨🇸🇦 Al Qadsiah and Manchester City are set to exchange documents today for Tijjani Reijnders deal. Fee confirmed: €61m. https://t.co/P8JBKhCVVQ

claims AgreementView on X ↗
4 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🇸🇦 EXCLUSIVE: Tijjani Reijnders says yes to Al Qadsiah and all parties have now a verbal agreement, here we go! Man City agreed to receive €61m, as revealed today. Clubs exchanging documents now ahead of signatures. Reijnders didn’t train as he’s waiting to fly to Saudi. https://t.co/uwOErBoyzs

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🇸🇦 More on Tijjani Reijnders and Al Qadsiah exclusive story. There’s a verbal agreement in principle between Al Qadsiah and Manchester City at €61m fee for Reijnders. 🫱🏻‍🫲🏼 Deal depends on player’s decision. 🇳🇱 Nottingham Forest, keen for weeks but no fresh bid yet. https://t.co/5mtp8QTipL

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    🚨 Tijjani Reijnders has now agreed to join Al-Qadsiah. Understand the fee in place with Manchester City is worth €58m plus solidarity. The clubs are currently exchanging paperwork. https://t.co/Z5dIqHyIMK

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗name shared — matched from context

    Al-Qadsiah reach a verbal agreement with Manchester City in the region of €60m. Reijnders still needs to agree terms.⬇️ https://t.co/Z5dIqHyIMK

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨🇸🇦 Exclusive story on Reijnders to Al Qadsiah, confirmed by Enzo Maresca. “When the club, the player, the manager, they all think in the same way that probably the best decision for some players is to go, you have to go...”. https://t.co/uYT9t0NGjU

claims Donename shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 32% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
David Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 87% faded
+2
Completion probability
32%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Aug: −7 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting15 Aug16 Aug28 Aug
33 recomputations▼ 11 points over the trail
  1. −72mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting